Testable Predictions
This table consolidates the falsification criteria drawn from Sections I through XII into a single reference list. Each prediction carries a pointer back to its home section for the full measurement protocol.
The table is the paper's contract with the reader. Print it, run the measurements, mark the rows.
| Status | Prediction | Section | Falsification Anchor |
|---|---|---|---|
| — | 13.1 Scene disambiguation | I | 30 point gap |
| — | 13.2 Episode reconstruction | II | 20 point gap |
| — | 13.3 Revenue localisation | III | 10% of unattributed revenue |
| — | 13.4 Tick settling | IV | Vote convergence within 2 - 5 ticks; integrated shape within ~10% RMS of minimum jerk |
| — | 13.5 Four shape composition | V | 9/10 queries above threshold |
| — | 13.6 Temporal reasoning | VI | 8/10 correct |
| — | 13.7 Episode handover | VII | 80% vs 50% continuity |
| — | 13.8 Fable fidelity | VIII | 70% structural, 50% tonal |
| — | 13.9 Flock versus homunculus | IX | 30% adversarial gap |
| — | 13.10 Three button cell | X | 40% mistake reduction |
| — | 13.11 Structural kindness | XI | 50 point dimensional preservation gap |
| — | 13.12 Aggregate | XII | All of the above |
How to Read This Table
The twelve predictions form a tight web of falsification. Any one of them can be attacked in isolation, in which case the framework fails at that prediction and survives in reduced form at the others. Any combination can be attacked together.
We consider the thirteenth prediction - the aggregate - the most demanding because it requires all twelve to succeed.
Three Patterns of Results
Clean pass. All twelve section-level predictions hold. The framework survives in full form and earns further testing at larger scale.
Partial pass. Some predictions hold and some fail. The framework survives at the predictions that held and must be revised or abandoned at the predictions that failed. The boundary between survival and failure becomes the new research question.
Clean fail. A majority of predictions fail, or one of the three pillars cracks decisively. The framework fails and becomes a cautionary example of a wrong paper with clear falsification criteria - which is still more useful than a right paper with vague ones.
The Invitation
This is a research programme, not a proof. Readers are invited to build, measure, and report.